What will Bitcoin do in March 2026? Here’s what history tells us

Unless we see a rapid bull run of more than 15% in the last week of this month, Bitcoin is bound to close February negatively. That would thus be the fifth consecutive month of declining prices. The last time we saw such a move, it was practically the end of the decline. Will that be the case this time as well?

Gold and silver

As predicted at the beginning of the year, the continued rise in commodities like gold and silver was relatively easy to see. However, their movement seems to be slowing, and many are wondering if a turning point has started.

This would mean that risky assets like Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies could rise again, while commodities like gold and silver would slow down.

Bitcoin has been declining for about five consecutive months since its ATH of $125,000 in early October. The last time this happened was in 2018, after the largest cryptocurrency had reached the $20,000 level for the first time in late 2017.

Even in the disastrous year of 2022 for crypto, we never had more than three consecutive months of decline.

If 2026 is a carbon copy of the 2018 decline, we are reaching the end of the decline and can start rising again from this level.

We first need to wait and see how the markets react to the latest Trump tariff threat, but knowing that more and more retail investors are placing buy orders in the $60-65,000 region, crypto spring might already be on its way.